Place each risk on 2x2: probability × impact — treat high/high first.

Imagine your decision failed a year from now and write the reasons today — preventing 70% of catastrophes.

List your top 10 risks with probability, impact, and owner; review the first Monday each month.

Imagine the project failed entirely a year from now; list 7 plausible reasons before starting.

Rate each risk on a 5×5 grid — color dictates response urgency.

Each core operation: "what if it stops for a day?" with a backup plan.

Each big decision: 3 numeric scenarios, not "hope for the best".

Before big commitment: "what if X drops 50%?" Test plan robustness.

30 days before audit: self-review controls — find gaps before auditor does.

Before signing: 12 red flags that may cost thousands later.

List "things only X knows" — each is risk if they leave.

Don't ask "do we need another hire?" — ask "if we started today with nobody, who'd we hire first?".

For every critical process ask: if this person or system vanished tomorrow, what happens?

Before committing to a big decision, imagine it failed a year from now and list three primary causes.

Craft three plausible futures (optimistic, base, hard) and test your decisions against each.

Task a separate team with attacking your plan as if they were a smart adversary — before reality discovers it.

15 min before a big decision: imagine it failed a year later, list 5 likely causes with mitigations.

Design a 3-phase leadership onboarding plan: Learn (30) → Contribute (60) → Own (90) — instead of leaving the new member to "figure it out alone".

There's no ready solution for adaptive problems — treat your next solution as a small learnable experiment, not a final plan that must succeed on the first try.

Discuss drugs/alcohol/sex via questions, not lectures. Curiosity opens when invited, not imposed.

Don't paste contracts, health data, or IP into a public model — may appear in later training.