5 results (expanded search) for "2015-superforecasting-tetlock"
Administrative
Monthly Decision Journal
Log every important decision with your prediction; review monthly for calibration accuracy.
Professional
Weak Ties Activation
Opportunities come from acquaintances not friends — activate 20 weak ties this month.
Social
Listen to Understand
Listen to understand not prep your reply — shifts every conversation.
Administrative
"You Decide" List for New Hires
On day one, hand the new hire a list of 15 decisions they make alone without consulting you.
Leadership
Decision Journal
Per big leadership decision: your mental state, info, prediction, actual outcome. Learn from mistakes.