Place each risk on 2x2: probability × impact — treat high/high first.

Imagine your decision failed a year from now and write the reasons today — preventing 70% of catastrophes.

Score each initiative Impact x Confidence x Ease (1-10 each), execute by score order.

List your top 10 risks with probability, impact, and owner; review the first Monday each month.

Score each idea on Impact, Confidence, Ease — pick the highest sum.

Imagine the project failed entirely a year from now; list 7 plausible reasons before starting.

30 days before audit: self-review controls — find gaps before auditor does.

Before signing: 12 red flags that may cost thousands later.

List "things only X knows" — each is risk if they leave.

For every critical process ask: if this person or system vanished tomorrow, what happens?

Before committing to a big decision, imagine it failed a year from now and list three primary causes.

Craft three plausible futures (optimistic, base, hard) and test your decisions against each.

Task a separate team with attacking your plan as if they were a smart adversary — before reality discovers it.

15 min before a big decision: imagine it failed a year later, list 5 likely causes with mitigations.

Discuss drugs/alcohol/sex via questions, not lectures. Curiosity opens when invited, not imposed.