11 results (expanded search) for "2018-thinking-in-bets-duke"
Administrative
Monthly Decision Journal
Log every important decision with your prediction; review monthly for calibration accuracy.
Psychological
Best Possible Self
Write 15 min about best version of self in 5 years — you may see self.
Professional
Lateral Move Evaluation
Before accepting lateral move, evaluate on 5 axes: learning, network, visibility, stretch, energy.
Professional
Read-Aloud Edit
Read draft aloud. Every stumble = sentence needing edit.
Professional
Weak Ties Activation
Opportunities come from acquaintances not friends — activate 20 weak ties this month.
Social
Create a New Family Tradition
Invent a new family tradition (weekly/monthly/yearly) to build shared memory.
Social
Mentor-Need Matching
Use a matrix to match the right mentor with your real need before asking.
Leadership
Decision Journal
Per big leadership decision: your mental state, info, prediction, actual outcome. Learn from mistakes.
Parenting
Personal Story-Telling
Tell your child a story from your childhood weekly — transmits family heritage and values unforgettably.
Digital & AI
Force Explicit Chain-of-Thought
Add "think step-by-step inside <thinking> tags before answering" — boosts complex-problem accuracy 30-40%.
Digital & AI
AI-Assisted Decision Journaling
Before a big decision, ask AI to surface your biases through questions (not give the answer), then log the decision and prediction for later review.