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Risk Matrix: Probability × Impact

Rate each risk on a 5×5 grid — color dictates response urgency.

35 min Intermediate

Goal

Beyond "all risks are equal" to objective sorting steering resources.

Steps

1

Draw 5x5 grid: column = impact 1-5, row = probability 1-5.

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Expected Outcome

Immediate

You see 2-3 "green" risks were stealing attention needlessly.

Evidence base

School: Software Engineering Economics

Founders: Barry Boehm (1981)

Boehm — Software Engineering Economics (1981) — first probability-impact matrix; standard in PMBOK & ISO 31000.

Frequently asked questions

How long does "Risk Matrix: Probability × Impact" take?

This exercise takes about 35 minutes, practiced with another person in a Action format.

When will I notice the effect of "Risk Matrix: Probability × Impact"?

You see 2-3 "green" risks were stealing attention needlessly. In the short term: In 2 months, resources concentrate on red — response effectiveness rises.

Is "Risk Matrix: Probability × Impact" evidence-based?

Yes — it draws on Software Engineering Economics (Barry Boehm (1981)). Boehm — Software Engineering Economics (1981) — first probability-impact matrix; standard in PMBOK & ISO 31000.

Is "Risk Matrix: Probability × Impact" suitable for beginners?

Its difficulty level is: Intermediate. No external tools required — it can be practiced directly inside the app.

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